Radnički Niš vs Napredak Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Napredak has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.6) compared to Radnički Niš (SoS: 40.1). This means Napredak's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Offensively, Radnički Niš outperforms Napredak with 1.3 goals per match to 0.6, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with Radnički Niš conceding 1.4 and Napredak conceding 1.5 per match.

Napredak has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Radnički Niš has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Radnički Niš has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Napredak is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Radnički Niš is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Napredak shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Radnički Niš faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Napredak can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Radnički Niš. In practical terms, Radnički Niš would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Radnički Niš, with a 9.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the Serbian Super Liga (2026-05-03), Radnički Niš beat Napredak 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Radnički Niš achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Napredak shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Napredak will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Radnički Niš will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.