Radnički Niš vs Spartak Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.1 vs 41.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Radnički Niš holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Spartak's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Radnički Niš holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.4 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Spartak's leaky backline that surrenders 2.5 goals per match.

Radnički Niš has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Radnički Niš has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Spartak is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Radnički Niš is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Spartak shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Radnički Niš faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Spartak can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Radnički Niš. In practical terms, Radnički Niš would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Radnički Niš holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 43.1 against 25.2 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In the Serbian Super Liga (2026-05-24), Radnički Niš beat Spartak 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Radnički Niš secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Spartak will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Radnički Niš will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.