Raith Rovers vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.0 vs 46.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, St. Johnstone outperforms Raith Rovers with 2.0 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

St. Johnstone's backline outperforms Raith Rovers's, with 0.5 goals conceded per match versus 1.1.

Raith Rovers has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Johnstone has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Raith Rovers has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

St. Johnstone is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Raith Rovers has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: St. Johnstone is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Johnstone. In practical terms, St. Johnstone would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, St. Johnstone holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 69.0 against 50.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Scottish Championship match (2026-04-24), St. Johnstone prevailed 2-0 against Raith Rovers. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. St. Johnstone secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Raith Rovers will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. St. Johnstone will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.