Rangers vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Rangers has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.7) compared to Celtic (SoS: 42.4). This means Rangers's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rangers averaging 2.6 and Celtic averaging 2.7 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Rangers conceding 1.9 and Celtic conceding 1.6 per match.

Rangers has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celtic is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Rangers has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Celtic is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Celtic faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Rangers can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Celtic. In practical terms, Celtic would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Celtic, with a 6.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-10), Celtic prevailed 3-1 against Rangers. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Celtic secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Rangers will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celtic will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.