Rangers vs Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (54.7 vs 47.0), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Rangers holds the attacking edge with 2.6 goals per match versus Hearts's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Hearts has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Rangers's 1.9.

Rangers has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hearts has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Rangers has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 17 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Rangers's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-04), Hearts prevailed 2-1 against Rangers. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Rangers will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.