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Compare Rayo vs Elche

Rayo vs Elche Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Elche: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Elche Elche Away Team
Rayo
74.0
L W W D D W W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Elche
58.0
D W L D L W W W L W

Performance Radar

Rayo
Elche

Categories Won

11

Rayo

1

Draw

3

Elche

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Sergio Camello (5 goals)
André Silva (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
76.7

League Difficulty: 88.5, Opponent Quality: 64.4

69.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 67.2

Elite Opponent Record
75%

3W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.79

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.39

1.57

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
74.0

Attack: 59.1, Defense: 97.1, Form: 76.0

58.0

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 71.4, Form: 59.5

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2

61-75'

5
5

76-90+'

1
Rayo
Elche
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

74.0

Overall

Attack 59.1
Defense 97.1
Form 76.0
Consistency 61.3
Elche

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 71.4
Form 59.5
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.5 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 67.2

Elite Opponent Record

75% vs 33%
Rayo logo Rayo
L
Crystal Palace (60%)
W
Alavés (72%)
W
Villarreal (72%)
D
Valencia (75%)
D
Girona (56%)
W
Strasbourg (62%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Elche logo Elche
D
Girona (61%)
W
Getafe (67%)
L
Betis (75%)
D
Alavés (67%)
L
Celta Vigo (61%)
W
Oviedo (59%)
W
Atlético (64%)
W
Valencia (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crystal Palace A
0 - 1 L
60%
Alavés A
2 - 1 W
72%
Villarreal H
2 - 0 W
72%
Valencia A
1 - 1 D
75%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
56%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
62%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
57%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona A
1 - 1 D
61%
Getafe H
1 - 0 W
67%
Betis A
1 - 2 L
75%
Alavés H
1 - 1 D
67%
Celta Vigo A
1 - 3 L
61%
Oviedo A
2 - 1 W
59%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
64%
Valencia H
1 - 0 W
70%
Rayo A
0 - 1 L
82%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
66%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 76.7 vs 69.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rayo averaging 1.4 and Elche averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 0.7 per match compared to Elche's 1.2.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Elche has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Elche, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Rayo is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.0 vs 58.0) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-04-03), Rayo beat Elche 1-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Rayo secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Elche will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rayo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Elche

Elche

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Rayo

6W 3D 1L · 14 goals scored · 7 conceded

Elche

5W 2D 3L · 13 goals scored · 12 conceded

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