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Compare Rayo vs Freiburg

Rayo vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Rayo
74.0
L W W D D W W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
49.1
L W L W D L L L W W

Performance Radar

Rayo
Freiburg

Categories Won

9

Rayo

2

Draw

4

Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Sergio Camello (5 goals)
I. Matanović (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
76.7

League Difficulty: 88.5, Opponent Quality: 64.4

63.0

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 66.1

Elite Opponent Record
75%

3W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.79

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.39

2.2

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.5

Adjusted Power Rating
74.0

Attack: 59.1, Defense: 97.1, Form: 76.0

49.1

Attack: 64.0, Defense: 41.4, Form: 45.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3

16-30'

7
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

2
Rayo
Freiburg
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

74.0

Overall

Attack 59.1
Defense 97.1
Form 76.0
Consistency 61.3
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

49.1

Overall

Attack 64.0
Defense 41.4
Form 45.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.5 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 66.1

Elite Opponent Record

75% vs 25%
Rayo logo Rayo
L
Crystal Palace (60%)
W
Alavés (72%)
W
Villarreal (72%)
D
Valencia (75%)
D
Girona (56%)
W
Strasbourg (62%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Aston Villa (73%)
W
Leipzig (74%)
L
Hamburg (65%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (57%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (81%)
L
Stuttgart (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crystal Palace A
0 - 1 L
60%
Alavés A
2 - 1 W
72%
Villarreal H
2 - 0 W
72%
Valencia A
1 - 1 D
75%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
56%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
62%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
57%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aston Villa H
0 - 3 L
73%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
74%
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
65%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
57%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
81%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
54%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
58%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 76.7) compared to Freiburg (SoS: 63.0). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Freiburg leaks 1.9 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Rayo is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.0 vs 49.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Rayo

6W 3D 1L · 14 goals scored · 7 conceded

Freiburg

4W 1D 5L · 17 goals scored · 19 conceded

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