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Compare Real Madrid vs Man City

Real Madrid vs Man City Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Real Madrid vs Man City: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Real Madrid Real Madrid Home Team
Man City Man City Away Team
Real Madrid
85.5
W W W W D W W W L W

Last 10 Matches

Man City
69.5
W L W W D L D W W W

Performance Radar

Real Madrid
Man City

Categories Won

10

Real Madrid

2

Draw

3

Man City

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 1D, 1L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Vinícius Júnior (3 goals)
Omar Marmoush (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
86%

6W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
72.7

League Difficulty: 73.8, Opponent Quality: 66.2

67.1

League Difficulty: 71.5, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
80%

4W / 5 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.35

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.45

2.06

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
85.5

Attack: 77.7, Defense: 90.0, Form: 98.2

69.5

Attack: 70.3, Defense: 78.1, Form: 70.3

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Real Madrid
Man City
Real Madrid

Power Rating Breakdown

85.5

Overall

Attack 77.7
Defense 90.0
Form 98.2
Consistency 68.5
Man City

Power Rating Breakdown

69.5

Overall

Attack 70.3
Defense 78.1
Form 70.3
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

73.8 vs 71.5

Opponent Quality

66.2 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

80% vs 67%
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
W
Espanyol (78%)
W
Schalke 04 (54%)
W
Deportivo (56%)
W
Ferencváros (60%)
D
Fiorentina (50%)
W
Athletic (71%)
W
Sevilla (73%)
W
Oviedo (57%)
Man City logo Man City
W
Bournemouth (74%)
L
Arsenal (62%)
W
Atlético (42%)
W
K-League XI (43%)
D
Inter Milan (62%)
L
A Villa (64%)
D
Bournemouth (79%)
W
Chelsea (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Espanyol A
2 - 1 W
78%
Schalke 04 A
3 - 0 W
54%
Deportivo A
1 - 0 W
56%
Ferencváros A
2 - 1 W
60%
Fiorentina H
2 - 2 D
50%
Athletic H
4 - 2 W
71%
Sevilla A
1 - 0 W
73%
Oviedo H
2 - 0 W
57%
Barcelona A
0 - 2 L
85%
Espanyol A
2 - 0 W
78%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bournemouth H
2 - 1 W
74%
Arsenal A
0 - 3 L
62%
Atlético H
3 - 1 W
42%
K-League XI A
3 - 1 W
43%
Inter Milan H
1 - 1 D
62%
A Villa H
1 - 2 L
64%
Bournemouth A
1 - 1 D
79%
Chelsea A
1 - 0 W
53%
C Palace H
3 - 0 W
66%
Brentford H
3 - 0 W
76%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (72.7 vs 67.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Real Madrid (1.9 goals per match) and Man City (1.8 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Real Madrid giving up 0.8 and Man City giving up 1.0 per fixture.

Real Madrid has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Man City has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Real Madrid is a strong road performer with a 86% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Real Madrid is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 19 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Man City has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Real Madrid has won 8 of their last 5, while Man City has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Real Madrid. In practical terms, Real Madrid would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Real Madrid emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (85.5 vs 69.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

VS
Man City

Man City

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Real Madrid

8W 1D 1L · 19 goals scored · 8 conceded

Man City

6W 2D 2L · 18 goals scored · 10 conceded

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