Real Sociedad vs Athletic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Real Sociedad vs Athletic: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Real Sociedad
Home Team
Athletic
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Real Sociedad
Draw
Athletic
Statistical Comparison
1W, 6D, 3L
4W, 2D, 4L
15 / 10 matches
25 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
-2
+10
0 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 78.6, Opponent Quality: 62.8
League Difficulty: 78.6, Opponent Quality: 61.3
0W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.22
Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.35
Attack: 51.7, Defense: 44.8, Form: 10.3
Attack: 90.9, Defense: 54.5, Form: 43.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Real Sociedad
Athletic
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 53.4 vs 59.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Athletic possess a formidable attacking unit, with Gorka Guruzeta accounting for 3 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.5 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Real Sociedad giving up 1.7 and Athletic giving up 1.5 per fixture.
Real Sociedad has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Athletic has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 3.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Real Sociedad is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Athletic is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Real Sociedad shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Athletic faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Real Sociedad can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 19.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Athletic. In practical terms, Athletic would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Athletic in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.7, compared to 41.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Real Sociedad
Athletic
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Real Sociedad
1W 6D 3L · 15 goals scored · 17 conceded
Athletic
4W 2D 4L · 25 goals scored · 15 conceded
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