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Compare Red Star vs Lille

Red Star vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Red Star vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Red Star Red Star Home Team
Lille Lille Away Team
Red Star
78.8
W W W L D L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Lille
70.6
L W L W D W D W W W

Performance Radar

Red Star
Lille

Categories Won

10

Red Star

2

Draw

3

Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.5

25 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+16

+16

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Bruno Duarte (6 goals)
O. Giroud (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.4

League Difficulty: 59.2, Opponent Quality: 53.6

66.3

League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.8

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.72

Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.22

1.63

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating
78.8

Attack: 97.8, Defense: 82.2, Form: 70.4

70.6

Attack: 62.0, Defense: 93.0, Form: 69.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

6

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

5
3

61-75'

1
6

76-90+'

2
Red Star
Lille
Red Star

Power Rating Breakdown

78.8

Overall

Attack 97.8
Defense 82.2
Form 70.4
Consistency 52.0
Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

70.6

Overall

Attack 62.0
Defense 93.0
Form 69.8
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

59.2 vs 77.8

Opponent Quality

53.6 vs 64.8

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 50%
Red Star logo Red Star
W
Vojvodina (53%)
W
Larne (78%)
W
Mačva (48%)
L
OFK (47%)
D
Radnik (50%)
L
Novi Pazar (37%)
W
Čukarički (51%)
W
Partizan (61%)
Lille logo Lille
L
R. Union SG (62%)
W
La Louvière (34%)
L
Auxerre (72%)
W
Monaco (67%)
D
Le Havre (61%)
W
Paris FC (79%)
D
Nice (70%)
W
Toulouse (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Vojvodina H
3 - 1 W
53%
Larne A
4 - 0 W
78%
Mačva H
5 - 0 W
48%
OFK H
1 - 2 L
47%
Radnik A
0 - 0 D
50%
Novi Pazar H
1 - 2 L
37%
Čukarički A
2 - 1 W
51%
Partizan H
3 - 0 W
61%
Železničar P A
2 - 2 D
58%
Vojvodina H
4 - 1 W
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
R. Union SG A
1 - 2 L
62%
La Louvière H
3 - 0 W
34%
Auxerre H
0 - 2 L
72%
Monaco A
1 - 0 W
67%
Le Havre H
1 - 1 D
61%
Paris FC A
1 - 0 W
79%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
70%
Toulouse A
4 - 0 W
62%
Lens H
3 - 0 W
77%
Marseille A
2 - 1 W
64%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.4 vs 66.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Red Star leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.5 goals per game compared to Lille's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Lille holds the advantage — allowing just 0.6 goals per game against Red Star's 0.9.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Red Star has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Lille has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Red Star has won 6 of their last 5, while Lille has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Red Star. In practical terms, Red Star would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Red Star holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Red Star

Red Star

VS
Lille

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Red Star

6W 2D 2L · 25 goals scored · 9 conceded

Lille

6W 2D 2L · 16 goals scored · 6 conceded

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