Red Star vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Red Star vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Red Star
Home Team
Lille
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Red Star
Draw
Lille
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
6W, 2D, 2L
25 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
+16
+10
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
4W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 59.2, Opponent Quality: 53.6
League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.8
1W / 1 matches
2W / 4 matches
Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.22
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03
Attack: 97.8, Defense: 82.2, Form: 70.4
Attack: 62.0, Defense: 93.0, Form: 69.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Red Star
Lille
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.4 vs 66.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Red Star leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.5 goals per game compared to Lille's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Lille holds the advantage — allowing just 0.6 goals per game against Red Star's 0.9.
Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Lille is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Red Star has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Lille has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Red Star has won 6 of their last 5, while Lille has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Red Star. In practical terms, Red Star would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Red Star holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Red Star
Lille
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Red Star
6W 2D 2L · 25 goals scored · 9 conceded
Lille
6W 2D 2L · 16 goals scored · 6 conceded
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