Waalwijk vs Roda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.9 vs 44.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Waalwijk averaging 0.9 and Roda averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Roda's backline outperforms Waalwijk's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Waalwijk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Roda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Waalwijk is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Roda is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Roda faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Waalwijk can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Roda. In practical terms, Roda would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Roda, with a 11.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 (2026-05-01). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 (2026-04-28). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.