Waalwijk vs Willem II Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.9 vs 44.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Willem II outperforms Waalwijk with 1.3 goals per match to 0.9, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Willem II has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Waalwijk's 1.3.

Waalwijk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Willem II has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Willem II is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.0 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Waalwijk is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Willem II has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Willem II is on the rise with 5W in last 7, while Waalwijk shows signs of decline with 0W in last 7.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Willem II. In practical terms, Willem II would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Willem II in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.2, compared to 36.8 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 (2026-05-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-05), Willem II prevailed 0-1 against Waalwijk. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Willem II achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Waalwijk shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Waalwijk will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Willem II will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.