Rodez vs Saint-Étienne Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (43.3 vs 52.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Rodez possess a formidable attacking unit, with W. Younoussa accounting for 1 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Rodez's backline outperforms Saint-Étienne's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Rodez has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Saint-Étienne has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rodez has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Saint-Étienne is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Rodez is on the rise with 3W in last 5, while Saint-Étienne shows signs of decline with 0W in last 6.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Rodez faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Saint-Étienne can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 29.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Rodez. In practical terms, Rodez would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Rodez in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.7, compared to 31.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent French Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-15), Saint-Étienne prevailed 0-0 against Rodez. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Saint-Étienne secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Rodez will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Saint-Étienne will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.