Roma vs Bologna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.5 vs 62.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Roma in front of goal. Their 2.3 average per fixture tells the story, with D. Malen driving that output personally responsible for 8 goals this campaign.

Roma's backline outperforms Bologna's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.8.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Roma has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Roma is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Roma is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Roma is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Bologna shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Roma is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 73.3 vs 40.5, and superior metrics across the board, Roma should win this comfortably.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-04-25), Roma beat Bologna 0-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Roma achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bologna shows genuine quality and mental strength. Bologna will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Roma will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.