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Compare Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Roma vs Inter Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Roma Roma Home Team
Inter Milan Inter Milan Away Team
Roma
71.3
W W W W W D W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Inter Milan
83.7
D D W W W D W W W W

Performance Radar

Roma
Inter Milan

Categories Won

4

Roma

2

Draw

9

Inter Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

70%

7W, 3D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

2.8

28 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

+15

+15

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Malen (8 goals)
M. Thuram (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 18
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.4

League Difficulty: 89.5, Opponent Quality: 61.7

70.9

League Difficulty: 81.0, Opponent Quality: 62.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.86

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.56

3.18

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
71.3

Attack: 82.3, Defense: 64.4, Form: 75.2

83.7

Attack: 100, Defense: 68.5, Form: 84.6

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
6

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

10
3

61-75'

5
4

76-90+'

6
Roma
Inter Milan
Roma

Power Rating Breakdown

71.3

Overall

Attack 82.3
Defense 64.4
Form 75.2
Consistency 53.2
Inter Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

83.7

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 68.5
Form 84.6
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.5 vs 81.0

Opponent Quality

61.7 vs 62.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%
Roma logo Roma
W
Verona (52%)
W
Lazio (60%)
W
Parma (62%)
W
Fiorentina (66%)
W
Bologna (66%)
D
Atalanta (65%)
W
Pisa (41%)
L
Inter Milan (88%)
Inter Milan logo Inter Milan
D
Bologna (66%)
D
Verona (47%)
W
Lazio (47%)
W
Lazio (65%)
W
Parma (57%)
D
Torino (72%)
W
Como (54%)
W
Cagliari (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Verona A
2 - 0 W
52%
Lazio H
2 - 0 W
60%
Parma A
3 - 2 W
62%
Fiorentina H
4 - 0 W
66%
Bologna A
2 - 0 W
66%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
65%
Pisa H
3 - 0 W
41%
Inter Milan A
2 - 5 L
88%
Lecce H
1 - 0 W
58%
Bologna H
3 - 4 L
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bologna A
3 - 3 D
66%
Verona H
1 - 1 D
47%
Lazio A
2 - 0 W
47%
Lazio A
3 - 0 W
65%
Parma H
2 - 0 W
57%
Torino A
2 - 2 D
72%
Como H
3 - 2 W
54%
Cagliari H
3 - 0 W
59%
Como A
4 - 3 W
77%
Roma H
5 - 2 W
78%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Inter Milan has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 70.9) compared to Roma (SoS: 57.4). This means Inter Milan's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Inter Milan holds the attacking edge with 2.8 goals per match versus Roma's 2.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Roma conceding 1.2 and Inter Milan conceding 1.3 per match.

Inter Milan has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors Inter Milan, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Roma is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Inter Milan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-04-05), Inter Milan beat Roma 5-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Inter Milan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-2 scoreline was emphatic — Inter Milan completely dominated Roma in that encounter, raising serious questions about Roma's ability to compete at this level. Roma will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Inter Milan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Roma

Roma

VS
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Roma

7W 1D 2L · 23 goals scored · 12 conceded

Inter Milan

7W 3D 0L · 28 goals scored · 13 conceded

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