Ross County vs Dunfermline Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ross County vs Dunfermline: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Ross County
Home Team
Dunfermline
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ross County
Draw
Dunfermline
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
4W, 3D, 3L
21 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+7
+4
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 43.5, Opponent Quality: 44.0
League Difficulty: 54.7, Opponent Quality: 54.3
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.12
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.07
Attack: 65.7, Defense: 50.0, Form: 46.9
Attack: 42.4, Defense: 60.6, Form: 36.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Ross County
Dunfermline
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 43.8 vs 40.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Ross County holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Dunfermline's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Dunfermline has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Ross County's 1.4.
Ross County has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Ross County has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Dunfermline has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ross County faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Dunfermline can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 6.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 67% win probability for Ross County. In practical terms, Ross County would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Ross County holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 6.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Ross County
Dunfermline
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ross County
5W 2D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded
Dunfermline
4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 10 conceded
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