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Compare Rwanda vs Algeria

Rwanda vs Algeria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rwanda vs Algeria: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rwanda Rwanda Home Team
Algeria Algeria Away Team
Rwanda
43.6
W W L L W L L

Last 10 Matches

Algeria
60.4
L D W L W W D W L W

Performance Radar

Rwanda
Algeria

Categories Won

2

Rwanda

1

Draw

12

Algeria

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
43%

3W, 0D, 4L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

7 / 7 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

7 / 7 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
43%

3 / 7 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
29%

2 / 7 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
0%

0 / 7 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Mickels (1 goals)
A. Gouiri (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.3

League Difficulty: 68.6, Opponent Quality: 56.7

59.7

League Difficulty: 75.0, Opponent Quality: 61.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.39

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.39

2.05

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
43.6

Attack: 32.4, Defense: 64.9, Form: 41.8

60.4

Attack: 65.8, Defense: 69.5, Form: 54.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

6

61-75'

2

76-90+'

6
Rwanda
Algeria
Rwanda

Power Rating Breakdown

43.6

Overall

Attack 32.4
Defense 64.9
Form 41.8
Consistency 33.9
Algeria

Power Rating Breakdown

60.4

Overall

Attack 65.8
Defense 69.5
Form 54.9
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

68.6 vs 75.0

Opponent Quality

56.7 vs 61.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Rwanda logo Rwanda
W
Estonia (44%)
W
Grenada (65%)
L
South Africa (54%)
L
Benin (39%)
W
Zimbabwe (54%)
L
Nigeria (69%)
L
Algeria (72%)
Algeria logo Algeria
L
Switzerland (73%)
D
Austria (67%)
W
Jordan (48%)
L
Argentina (88%)
W
Bolivia (49%)
W
Netherlands (77%)
D
Uruguay (58%)
W
Guatemala (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Estonia H
2 - 0 W
44%
Grenada H
4 - 0 W
65%
South Africa A
0 - 3 L
54%
Benin H
0 - 1 L
39%
Zimbabwe A
1 - 0 W
54%
Nigeria A
0 - 1 L
69%
Algeria A
0 - 2 L
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Switzerland A
0 - 2 L
73%
Austria H
3 - 3 D
67%
Jordan A
2 - 1 W
48%
Argentina A
0 - 3 L
88%
Bolivia A
4 - 0 W
49%
Netherlands A
1 - 0 W
77%
Uruguay H
0 - 0 D
58%
Guatemala H
7 - 0 W
47%
Nigeria H
0 - 2 L
58%
Congo DR H
1 - 0 W
48%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Algeria has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.7) compared to Rwanda (SoS: 47.3). This means Algeria's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Algeria holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Rwanda's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Rwanda conceding 1.0 and Algeria conceding 1.1 per match.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Algeria emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (60.4 vs 43.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-06-05), Algeria prevailed 2-0 against Rwanda. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Algeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Rwanda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Algeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rwanda

Rwanda

VS
Algeria

Algeria

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Rwanda

3W 0D 4L · 7 goals scored · 7 conceded

Algeria

5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 11 conceded

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