Rwanda vs Grenada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.3 vs 49.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Grenada's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with J. Francis leading the charge (2 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Rwanda has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Grenada's 1.7.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Rwanda shows signs of decline with 3W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Rwanda can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Grenada, with a 11.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-27), Rwanda prevailed 4-0 against Grenada. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Rwanda secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Rwanda completely dominated Grenada in that encounter, raising serious questions about Grenada's ability to compete at this level. Grenada will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rwanda will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.