Saint-Étienne vs Nice Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.4 vs 43.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Nice in front of goal. Their 1.7 average per fixture tells the story, with E. Wahi driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Nice holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Saint-Étienne's 1.5.

Saint-Étienne has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Saint-Étienne is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Nice has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Nice is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Saint-Étienne shows signs of decline with 0W in last 6.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Nice. In practical terms, Nice would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Nice in this contest. Their superior power rating of 52.9, compared to 31.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent French Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-29), Nice prevailed 4-1 against Saint-Étienne. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nice secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Nice completely dominated Saint-Étienne in that encounter, raising serious questions about Saint-Étienne's ability to compete at this level. Saint-Étienne will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nice will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the French Play-offs 1/2 (2026-05-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Coupe de France match (2025-12-21), Nice prevailed 2-1 against Saint-Étienne. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nice secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Saint-Étienne will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nice will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.