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Compare Samsunspor vs Başakşehir

Samsunspor vs Başakşehir Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Samsunspor vs Başakşehir: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Samsunspor Samsunspor Home Team
Başakşehir Başakşehir Away Team
Samsunspor
55.9
D L W L W W W W L D

Last 10 Matches

Başakşehir
63.5
D W W W W L W D W D

Performance Radar

Samsunspor
Başakşehir

Categories Won

5

Samsunspor

2

Draw

8

Başakşehir

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Mouandilmadji (5 goals)
E. Shomurodov (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 13 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.9

League Difficulty: 66.6, Opponent Quality: 59.3

46.7

League Difficulty: 67.2, Opponent Quality: 56.7

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.05

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.25

2.03

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
55.9

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 51.3, Form: 54.9

63.5

Attack: 61.2, Defense: 74.1, Form: 58.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

7
3

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

7

76-90+'

5
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
Samsunspor

Power Rating Breakdown

55.9

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 51.3
Form 54.9
Consistency 45.7
Başakşehir

Power Rating Breakdown

63.5

Overall

Attack 61.2
Defense 74.1
Form 58.0
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

66.6 vs 67.2

Opponent Quality

59.3 vs 56.7

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Samsunspor logo Samsunspor
D
La Louvière (39%)
L
Dunkerque (47%)
W
Göztepe (66%)
L
Başakşehir (76%)
W
Galatasaray (60%)
W
Alanyaspor (62%)
W
Beşiktaş (57%)
W
Eyüp (70%)
Başakşehir logo Başakşehir
D
Inter Turku (62%)
W
Puskás (43%)
W
RB Salzburg (51%)
W
Gaziantep (51%)
W
Samsunspor (61%)
L
Fenerbahçe (78%)
W
Kasımpaşa (63%)
D
Trabzonspor (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
La Louvière A
0 - 0 D
39%
Dunkerque A
1 - 2 L
47%
Göztepe H
3 - 0 W
66%
Başakşehir A
0 - 3 L
76%
Galatasaray H
4 - 1 W
60%
Alanyaspor A
3 - 2 W
62%
Beşiktaş H
2 - 1 W
57%
Eyüp A
2 - 1 W
70%
Rize A
1 - 4 L
63%
Konyaspor H
2 - 2 D
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Inter Turku H
1 - 1 D
62%
Puskás A
2 - 0 W
43%
RB Salzburg A
2 - 1 W
51%
Gaziantep A
2 - 1 W
51%
Samsunspor H
3 - 0 W
61%
Fenerbahçe A
1 - 3 L
78%
Kasımpaşa H
4 - 0 W
63%
Trabzonspor A
1 - 1 D
62%
Gençlerbirliği H
3 - 0 W
45%
Kocaelispor A
0 - 0 D
51%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Samsunspor has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.9) compared to Başakşehir (SoS: 46.7). This means Samsunspor's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of Samsunspor and Başakşehir is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.8 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Başakşehir is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Samsunspor leaks 1.6 goals per match.

Başakşehir has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Samsunspor has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Başakşehir has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for Başakşehir. In practical terms, Başakşehir would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Başakşehir holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 7.6-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-09), Başakşehir beat Samsunspor 3-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Başakşehir secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Başakşehir completely dominated Samsunspor in that encounter, raising serious questions about Samsunspor's ability to compete at this level. Samsunspor will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Başakşehir will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Samsunspor

Samsunspor

VS
Başakşehir

Başakşehir

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Samsunspor

5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 16 conceded

Başakşehir

6W 3D 1L · 19 goals scored · 7 conceded

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