São Paulo vs Bahia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare São Paulo vs Bahia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
São Paulo
Home Team
Bahia
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
São Paulo
Draw
Bahia
Statistical Comparison
2W, 2D, 6L
3W, 3D, 4L
13 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
-3
-1
1 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 59.6
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 58.3
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.08
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.07
Attack: 49.0, Defense: 52.7, Form: 22.6
Attack: 45.5, Defense: 48.8, Form: 29.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
São Paulo
Bahia
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.
São Paulo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.0) compared to Bahia (SoS: 47.6). This means São Paulo's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with São Paulo averaging 1.3 and Bahia averaging 1.4 goals per match.
Both defenses are comparable, with São Paulo conceding 1.6 and Bahia conceding 1.5 per match.
São Paulo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: São Paulo is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.
💡 Why This Matters: São Paulo's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.
These two teams drew 2-2 in the Brazilian Serie A (2026-05-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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São Paulo
Bahia
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
São Paulo
2W 2D 6L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded
Bahia
3W 3D 4L · 14 goals scored · 15 conceded
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