Sassuolo vs Bologna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 62.0 vs 62.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Sassuolo in front of goal. Their 3.6 average per fixture tells the story, with A. Pinamonti driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Sassuolo holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Bologna's 1.8.

Sassuolo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sassuolo has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Sassuolo has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sassuolo faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Bologna can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sassuolo. In practical terms, Sassuolo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Sassuolo in this contest. Their superior power rating of 69.4, compared to 40.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.