Sassuolo vs Napoli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Sassuolo vs Napoli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Sassuolo
Home Team
Napoli
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Sassuolo
Draw
Napoli
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
5W, 2D, 3L
36 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
+24
+6
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5W / 6 matches
4W / 7 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 81.0, Opponent Quality: 61.0
League Difficulty: 81.0, Opponent Quality: 58.7
1W / 3 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 3.6 | Diff: -0.53
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32
Attack: 100, Defense: 67.2, Form: 56.0
Attack: 51.4, Defense: 72.0, Form: 51.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Sassuolo
Napoli
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 62.0 vs 52.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Sassuolo possess a formidable attacking unit, with A. Pinamonti accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.6 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Sassuolo giving up 1.2 and Napoli giving up 0.9 per fixture.
Sassuolo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Sassuolo has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 3.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Sassuolo has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Napoli has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sassuolo faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Napoli can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Sassuolo. In practical terms, Sassuolo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Sassuolo holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Sassuolo
Napoli
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Sassuolo
5W 1D 4L · 36 goals scored · 12 conceded
Napoli
5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 9 conceded
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