Senegal vs Nigeria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Nigeria has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 74.7 against considerably stronger competition than Senegal (SoS: 56.3). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Senegal (1.6 goals per match) and Nigeria (1.9 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Nigeria holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Senegal's leaky backline that surrenders 1.6 goals per match.

Nigeria has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 5 of 7 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Nigeria has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Senegal is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Nigeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Nigeria is on the rise with 5W in last 7, while Senegal shows signs of decline with 2W in last 5.

💡 Why This Matters: The 35.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Nigeria. In practical terms, Nigeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Nigeria is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 84.1 vs 48.9, and superior metrics across the board, Nigeria should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-08), Nigeria prevailed 0-3 against Senegal. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Nigeria achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Senegal shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Nigeria completely dominated Senegal in that encounter, raising serious questions about Senegal's ability to compete at this level. Senegal will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nigeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-05), Nigeria prevailed 2-1 against Senegal. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nigeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Senegal will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nigeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.