Senegal vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (52.4 vs 56.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Belgium holds the attacking edge with 2.7 goals per match versus Senegal's 1.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Belgium has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Senegal's 1.6.

Senegal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Senegal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Belgium emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.8 vs 48.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-07-01): Belgium defeated Senegal 3-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Belgium's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Senegal. Belgium secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Senegal will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.