Senegal vs Iraq Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.2 vs 52.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Senegal's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with I. Sarr leading the charge with 5 goals. Iraq manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Senegal conceding 1.6 and Iraq conceding 1.8 per match.

Senegal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Iraq has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Senegal, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Senegal has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-26): Senegal defeated Iraq 5-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Senegal's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Iraq. Senegal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Senegal completely dominated Iraq in that encounter, raising serious questions about Iraq's ability to compete at this level. Iraq will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Senegal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.