Serbia vs Denmark Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.5 vs 46.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Denmark possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Harder accounting for 7 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Denmark — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Serbia, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Denmark has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Denmark is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Denmark has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Denmark is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Serbia shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Denmark. In practical terms, Denmark would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Denmark emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 61.5 compared to 28.9, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Denmark as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): Denmark defeated Serbia 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Denmark achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Denmark completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): Denmark defeated Serbia 3-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Denmark secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.