Serbia vs Finland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Serbia vs Finland: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Serbia
Home Team
Finland
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Serbia
Draw
Finland
Statistical Comparison
3W, 1D, 6L
5W, 2D, 3L
9 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
-14
+2
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
1W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 59.0, Opponent Quality: 54.0
League Difficulty: 52.0, Opponent Quality: 49.5
0W / 1 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.05
Attack: 27.8, Defense: 21.6, Form: 27.8
Attack: 52.9, Defense: 41.1, Form: 44.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Serbia
Finland
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 42.5 vs 38.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Finland leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Serbia's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Finland has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Serbia's 2.3.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Finland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Finland faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Serbia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 17.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Finland. In practical terms, Finland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Finland holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 46.2 against 28.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Serbia
Finland
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Serbia
3W 1D 6L · 9 goals scored · 23 conceded
Finland
5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 16 conceded
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