Serbia vs Italy Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 42.5 vs 44.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Italy leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Serbia's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Italy — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Serbia, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Italy has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Italy is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Italy. In practical terms, Italy would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Italy has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-05): Italy defeated Serbia 3-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Italy's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Italy secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Italy completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Italy defeated Serbia 0-6. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Italy's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Italy achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-6 scoreline was emphatic — Italy completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Italy will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.