Serbia vs Albania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.9 vs 53.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Serbia and Albania is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.9 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Albania — 0.9 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Serbia, who give up 2.2 goals per match at the other end.

Serbia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Albania is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Albania. In practical terms, Albania would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Albania, with a 12.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-11): Albania defeated Serbia 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Albania's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Albania achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Albania will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.