Serbia vs Latvia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.9 vs 53.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Serbia leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.9 goals per game compared to Latvia's 0.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Latvia — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Serbia, who give up 2.2 goals per match at the other end.

Serbia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Latvia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Serbia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-11-16): Serbia defeated Latvia 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Serbia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Latvia. Serbia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Latvia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Serbia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-06): Serbia defeated Latvia 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Serbia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Latvia. Notably, Serbia achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Latvia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Latvia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Serbia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.