Shakhtar D vs SK Poltava Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.7 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Shakhtar D possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Obah accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Shakhtar D holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to SK Poltava's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Shakhtar D has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: SK Poltava is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Shakhtar D is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while SK Poltava shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 37.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Shakhtar D. In practical terms, Shakhtar D would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Shakhtar D is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 66.5 vs 28.6, and superior metrics across the board, Shakhtar D should win this comfortably.

In the Ukraine Premier League (2026-05-10), Shakhtar D beat SK Poltava 0-4. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Shakhtar D achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against SK Poltava shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — Shakhtar D completely dominated SK Poltava in that encounter, raising serious questions about SK Poltava's ability to compete at this level. SK Poltava will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shakhtar D will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.