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Compare Shamrock vs Waterford

Shamrock vs Waterford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Shamrock vs Waterford: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Shamrock Shamrock Home Team
Waterford Waterford Away Team
Shamrock
61.2
L W W L W W D W L W

Last 10 Matches

Waterford
54.8
D W D W W L W D L W

Performance Radar

Shamrock
Waterford

Categories Won

8

Shamrock

3

Draw

4

Waterford

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. McGovern (4 goals)
T. Lonergan (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.6

League Difficulty: 60.6, Opponent Quality: 60.2

46.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.1

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.16

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.26

1.78

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
61.2

Attack: 65.6, Defense: 65.6, Form: 62.2

54.8

Attack: 64.6, Defense: 51.7, Form: 48.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

5
7

76-90+'

7
Shamrock
Waterford
Shamrock

Power Rating Breakdown

61.2

Overall

Attack 65.6
Defense 65.6
Form 62.2
Consistency 43.3
Waterford

Power Rating Breakdown

54.8

Overall

Attack 64.6
Defense 51.7
Form 48.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.6 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

60.2 vs 48.1

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Shamrock logo Shamrock
L
Ararat-Armenia (93%)
W
Cork (40%)
W
Floriana (87%)
L
Floriana (88%)
W
Sligo (41%)
W
Galway Utd (46%)
D
Derry (41%)
W
Waterford (59%)
Waterford logo Waterford
D
Galway Utd (51%)
W
Cobh (43%)
D
St Pat's (49%)
W
Derry (46%)
W
Dundalk (56%)
L
Shamrock (55%)
W
Sligo (36%)
D
Drogheda (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ararat-Armenia A
0 - 2 L
93%
Cork H
4 - 1 W
40%
Floriana H
5 - 1 W
87%
Floriana A
0 - 2 L
88%
Sligo A
2 - 1 W
41%
Galway Utd H
3 - 1 W
46%
Derry H
1 - 1 D
41%
Waterford A
2 - 0 W
59%
Shelbourne A
1 - 2 L
58%
St Pat's H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Galway Utd A
0 - 0 D
51%
Cobh H
2 - 1 W
43%
St Pat's H
1 - 1 D
49%
Derry A
4 - 2 W
46%
Dundalk A
3 - 2 W
56%
Shamrock H
0 - 2 L
55%
Sligo H
4 - 0 W
36%
Drogheda A
3 - 3 D
46%
Shelbourne A
1 - 2 L
58%
Drogheda H
2 - 1 W
41%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.6 vs 46.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Shamrock (1.9 goals per match) and Waterford (2.0 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Both defenses are comparable, with Shamrock conceding 1.1 and Waterford conceding 1.4 per match.

Shamrock has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Waterford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Shamrock has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Shamrock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Waterford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Shamrock. In practical terms, Shamrock would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Shamrock holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 6.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-19), Shamrock prevailed 0-2 against Waterford. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Shamrock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Waterford shows genuine quality and mental strength. Waterford will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shamrock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Shamrock

Shamrock

VS
Waterford

Waterford

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Shamrock

6W 1D 3L · 19 goals scored · 11 conceded

Waterford

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 14 conceded

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