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Compare Olomouc vs Mainz

Olomouc vs Mainz Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Olomouc vs Mainz: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Olomouc Olomouc Home Team
Mainz Mainz Away Team
Olomouc
53.7
L W W W L W L W L L

Last 10 Matches

Mainz
54.1
W L W L D L L W W W

Performance Radar

Olomouc
Mainz

Categories Won

6

Olomouc

3

Draw

6

Mainz

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 0D, 5L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
100%

10 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Lurvink (3 goals)
P. Tietz (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.6

League Difficulty: 56.7, Opponent Quality: 53.2

65.8

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.1

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.1

1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

Adjusted Power Rating
53.7

Attack: 69.7, Defense: 48.8, Form: 52.3

54.1

Attack: 57.9, Defense: 54.0, Form: 57.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

6
3

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

3

76-90+'

3
Olomouc
Mainz
Olomouc

Power Rating Breakdown

53.7

Overall

Attack 69.7
Defense 48.8
Form 52.3
Consistency 32.5
Mainz

Power Rating Breakdown

54.1

Overall

Attack 57.9
Defense 54.0
Form 57.9
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

56.7 vs 88.4

Opponent Quality

53.2 vs 63.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Olomouc logo Olomouc
L
Jablonec (45%)
W
Sadd (43%)
W
Karviná (46%)
W
Karviná (51%)
L
Bohemians (53%)
W
Bohemians (58%)
L
Slavia Prague (69%)
W
Slovácko (36%)
Mainz logo Mainz
W
Heidenheim (76%)
L
Union Berlin (57%)
W
St. Pauli (52%)
L
Bayern Munich (77%)
D
M'gladbach (77%)
L
Strasbourg (53%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (48%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jablonec A
1 - 2 L
45%
Sadd H
2 - 1 W
43%
Karviná H
4 - 0 W
46%
Karviná A
3 - 1 W
51%
Bohemians H
1 - 2 L
53%
Bohemians A
3 - 1 W
58%
Slavia Prague A
1 - 2 L
69%
Slovácko H
2 - 1 W
36%
Pardubice A
1 - 2 L
69%
Ml. Boleslav H
2 - 4 L
62%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
76%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
57%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
52%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
77%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
77%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
53%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
48%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
69%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
65%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

Context matters here: Mainz's schedule strength (SoS: 65.8) has been notably more demanding than Olomouc's (SoS: 54.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Olomouc leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Mainz's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Olomouc giving up 1.6 and Mainz giving up 1.6 per fixture.

Olomouc has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Mainz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mainz is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Olomouc has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Mainz has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Mainz's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Olomouc

Olomouc

VS
Mainz

Mainz

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Olomouc

5W 0D 5L · 20 goals scored · 16 conceded

Mainz

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

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