SK Poltava vs Shakhtar D Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.1 vs 59.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Shakhtar D possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Obah accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Shakhtar D holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to SK Poltava's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: SK Poltava is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Shakhtar D has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Shakhtar D is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while SK Poltava shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 37.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Shakhtar D. In practical terms, Shakhtar D would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Shakhtar D is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 66.5 vs 28.6, and superior metrics across the board, Shakhtar D should win this comfortably.

In the Ukraine Premier League (2026-05-10), Shakhtar D beat SK Poltava 0-4. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Shakhtar D achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against SK Poltava shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — Shakhtar D completely dominated SK Poltava in that encounter, raising serious questions about SK Poltava's ability to compete at this level. SK Poltava will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shakhtar D will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.