Slaven vs Hajduk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.0 vs 55.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Slaven and Hajduk is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.6 and 1.7 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Hajduk — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Slaven, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Slaven has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hajduk has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Slaven is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Hajduk has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Hajduk faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Slaven can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hajduk. In practical terms, Hajduk would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Hajduk holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 54.1 against 35.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Croatia Prva HNL (2026-04-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.