Slovenia vs Norway Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Norway has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.1) compared to Slovenia (SoS: 44.0). This means Norway's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Norway's attack is on another level, averaging 1.6 goals per match with S. Gaupset leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Norway holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.2 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Slovenia's leaky backline that surrenders 2.5 goals per match.

Norway has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Slovenia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Norway has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Norway is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Slovenia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Norway. In practical terms, Norway would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Norway emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 60.0 compared to 23.6, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Norway as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-18): Norway defeated Slovenia 2-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Norway's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Slovenia. Notably, Norway achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Slovenia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Slovenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Norway will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Norway defeated Slovenia 5-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Norway's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Slovenia. Norway secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Norway completely dominated Slovenia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Slovenia's ability to compete at this level. Slovenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Norway will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.