South Korea vs Canada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.6 vs 50.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

South Korea holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Canada's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Canada is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while South Korea leaks 2.2 goals per match.

South Korea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Canada has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Canada has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Canada faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If South Korea can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Canada. In practical terms, Canada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Canada, with a 10.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-04-14), Canada prevailed 3-1 against South Korea. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Canada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. South Korea will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Canada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.