South Sudan vs Djibouti Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.3 vs 51.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

South Sudan holds the attacking edge with 0.8 goals per match versus Djibouti's 0.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

South Sudan holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.7 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Djibouti's leaky backline that surrenders 2.8 goals per match.

South Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Djibouti has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: South Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Djibouti is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, South Sudan faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Djibouti can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for South Sudan. In practical terms, South Sudan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

South Sudan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers (2026-03-29), Djibouti eliminated South Sudan with a 0-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Djibouti showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, Djibouti achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against South Sudan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. South Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Djibouti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers (2026-03-26), South Sudan eliminated Djibouti with a 0-4 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and South Sudan showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, South Sudan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Djibouti shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — South Sudan completely dominated Djibouti in that encounter, raising serious questions about Djibouti's ability to compete at this level. Djibouti will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. South Sudan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.