South Sudan vs Senegal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (50.3 vs 52.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Senegal's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with I. Sarr leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, South Sudan and Senegal are evenly matched, allowing 1.7 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

South Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Senegal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Senegal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: South Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Senegal is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while South Sudan shows signs of decline with 1W in last 6.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Senegal faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If South Sudan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Senegal. In practical terms, Senegal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Senegal holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-10-10): Senegal defeated South Sudan 0-5. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Senegal's ability to perform on the biggest stage against South Sudan. Notably, Senegal achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against South Sudan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-5 scoreline was emphatic — Senegal completely dominated South Sudan in that encounter, raising serious questions about South Sudan's ability to compete at this level. South Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Senegal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.