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Compare Southampton vs Bristol City

Southampton vs Bristol City Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Southampton vs Bristol City: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Southampton Southampton Home Team
Bristol City Bristol City Away Team
Southampton
55.0
W D W W D L W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Bristol City
41.7
W W D L W D L L L W

Performance Radar

Southampton
Bristol City

Categories Won

9

Southampton

3

Draw

3

Bristol City

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Bashford (4 goals)
L. Lloyd-Smith (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.2

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.81

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.01

1.44

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
55.0

Attack: 58.1, Defense: 64.6, Form: 48.4

41.7

Attack: 45.1, Defense: 45.1, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
4

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

4
1

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
8

76-90+'

5
Southampton
Bristol City
Southampton

Power Rating Breakdown

55.0

Overall

Attack 58.1
Defense 64.6
Form 48.4
Consistency 45.7
Bristol City

Power Rating Breakdown

41.7

Overall

Attack 45.1
Defense 45.1
Form 33.8
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.2 vs 47.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Southampton logo Southampton
W
Forest (48%)
D
Charlton (38%)
W
Sheff Utd (30%)
W
Ipswich (57%)
D
Durham (48%)
L
Birmingham (52%)
W
Bristol City (52%)
L
Newcastle (49%)
Bristol City logo Bristol City
W
Sheff Utd (34%)
W
Newcastle (49%)
D
Durham (48%)
L
Birmingham (52%)
W
Charlton (38%)
D
Portsmouth (31%)
L
Arsenal (62%)
L
Southampton (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forest A
3 - 0 W
48%
Charlton H
2 - 2 D
38%
Sheff Utd H
5 - 2 W
30%
Ipswich A
2 - 1 W
57%
Durham A
0 - 0 D
48%
Birmingham H
0 - 1 L
52%
Bristol City A
2 - 0 W
52%
Newcastle H
1 - 2 L
49%
Crystal Palace H
3 - 1 W
65%
Sunderland A
0 - 1 L
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sheff Utd A
4 - 0 W
34%
Newcastle H
2 - 1 W
49%
Durham A
2 - 2 D
48%
Birmingham H
0 - 1 L
52%
Charlton H
2 - 1 W
38%
Portsmouth A
2 - 2 D
31%
Arsenal A
0 - 3 L
62%
Southampton H
0 - 2 L
53%
Crystal Palace A
1 - 2 L
70%
Sunderland H
3 - 0 W
38%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Context matters here: Southampton's schedule strength (SoS: 46.9) has been notably more demanding than Bristol City's (SoS: 34.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

The attacking output of Southampton and Bristol City is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.8 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Southampton has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Bristol City's 1.4.

Southampton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southampton is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Southampton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Southampton. In practical terms, Southampton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Southampton, with a 13.3-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent English WSL 2 match (2026-02-15), Southampton prevailed 0-2 against Bristol City. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Southampton achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bristol City shows genuine quality and mental strength. Bristol City will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Southampton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Southampton

Southampton

VS
Bristol City

Bristol City

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Southampton

5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 10 conceded

Bristol City

4W 2D 4L · 16 goals scored · 14 conceded

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