Southport vs Warrington Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 37.8 vs 46.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Warrington holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Southport's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Southport — 1.6 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets put them well ahead of Warrington, who give up 2.5 goals per match at the other end.

Southport has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Warrington has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southport is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Southport has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Warrington is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 2 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Southport is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Warrington shows signs of decline with 0W in last 2.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Southport faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Warrington can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Southport. In practical terms, Southport would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Southport holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-25), Southport prevailed 2-3 against Warrington. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Southport achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Warrington shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Warrington will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Southport will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.