Spain vs Denmark Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Spain has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 61.4) compared to Denmark (SoS: 48.0). This means Spain's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Few sides can match Spain in front of goal. Their 3.8 average per fixture tells the story, with José Antonio Morante driving that output personally responsible for 4 goals this campaign.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Spain — 0.0 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Denmark, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Spain has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Spain has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Spain is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Spain has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 3.0 points per game over their last 5 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Denmark is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Spain is on the rise with 5W in last 5, while Denmark shows signs of decline with 1W in last 4.

💡 Why This Matters: The 59.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Spain. In practical terms, Spain would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Spain holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 100.0 against 40.1 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Spain a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent UEFA Under 19 Championship match (2026-07-01), Spain prevailed 0-3 against Denmark. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Spain achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Denmark shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Spain completely dominated Denmark in that encounter, raising serious questions about Denmark's ability to compete at this level. Denmark will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Spain will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.