Spartak vs Radnički Niš Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (41.1 vs 40.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Radnički Niš holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Spartak's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Radnički Niš is far superior, conceding just 1.4 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Spartak leaks 2.5 goals per match.

Radnički Niš has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Spartak is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Radnički Niš has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Radnički Niš is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Spartak shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Radnički Niš faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Spartak can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Radnički Niš. In practical terms, Radnički Niš would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Radnički Niš in this contest. Their superior power rating of 43.1, compared to 25.2 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In the Serbian Super Liga (2026-05-24), Radnički Niš beat Spartak 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Radnički Niš secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Spartak will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Radnički Niš will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.