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Compare Spennymoor vs Buxton

Spennymoor vs Buxton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Spennymoor vs Buxton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Spennymoor Spennymoor Home Team
Buxton Buxton Away Team
Spennymoor
42.8
L L D W L L D W W W

Last 10 Matches

Buxton
60.9
W L W W W D W W L W

Performance Radar

Spennymoor
Buxton

Categories Won

3

Spennymoor

4

Draw

8

Buxton

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. McKeown (4 goals)
L. Brennan (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 16
Home Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
40.7

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.9

37.0

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 40.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.02

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.18

1.89

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.51

Adjusted Power Rating
42.8

Attack: 36.3, Defense: 57.4, Form: 36.3

60.9

Attack: 69.6, Defense: 55.1, Form: 60.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

6
2

61-75'

6

76-90+'

2
Spennymoor
Buxton
Spennymoor

Power Rating Breakdown

42.8

Overall

Attack 36.3
Defense 57.4
Form 36.3
Consistency 44.8
Buxton

Power Rating Breakdown

60.9

Overall

Attack 69.6
Defense 55.1
Form 60.9
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

33.0 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

45.9 vs 40.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Spennymoor logo Spennymoor
L
Halifax (49%)
L
Hartlepool (48%)
D
Marine (32%)
W
Macclesfield (44%)
L
Worksop (46%)
L
Scarborough (46%)
D
South Shields (42%)
W
Kidderminster (67%)
Buxton logo Buxton
W
Scunthorpe (42%)
L
South Shields (47%)
W
Scarborough (40%)
W
Leamington (26%)
W
Curzon Ashton (32%)
D
Alfreton (44%)
W
Scarborough (40%)
W
Worksop (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Halifax H
1 - 3 L
49%
Hartlepool H
1 - 2 L
48%
Marine H
1 - 1 D
32%
Macclesfield A
2 - 0 W
44%
Worksop H
0 - 1 L
46%
Scarborough A
0 - 1 L
46%
South Shields H
1 - 1 D
42%
Kidderminster H
3 - 1 W
67%
King's Lynn A
1 - 0 W
40%
Hereford A
2 - 1 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Scunthorpe H
2 - 0 W
42%
South Shields A
0 - 1 L
47%
Scarborough H
4 - 2 W
40%
Leamington H
4 - 1 W
26%
Curzon Ashton A
4 - 0 W
32%
Alfreton A
2 - 2 D
44%
Scarborough H
2 - 0 W
40%
Worksop A
2 - 1 W
51%
Macclesfield H
2 - 4 L
39%
Hereford A
2 - 0 W
45%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 40.7 vs 37.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Buxton's attack is on another level, averaging 2.4 goals per match with L. Brennan leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Both defenses are comparable, with Spennymoor conceding 1.1 and Buxton conceding 1.1 per match.

Spennymoor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Buxton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Buxton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Spennymoor is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Buxton is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Buxton is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Spennymoor shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Buxton. In practical terms, Buxton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Buxton in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.9, compared to 42.8 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Spennymoor

Spennymoor

VS
Buxton

Buxton

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Spennymoor

4W 2D 4L · 12 goals scored · 11 conceded

Buxton

7W 1D 2L · 24 goals scored · 11 conceded

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