Spennymoor vs Merthyr Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Spennymoor vs Merthyr: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Spennymoor
Home Team
Merthyr
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Spennymoor
Draw
Merthyr
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
2W, 2D, 6L
12 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
+1
-6
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 6 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.9
League Difficulty: 34.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.18
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 36.3, Defense: 57.4, Form: 36.3
Attack: 45.5, Defense: 27.3, Form: 18.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Spennymoor
Merthyr
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 40.7 vs 40.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Merthyr outperforms Spennymoor with 1.5 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Spennymoor is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Merthyr leaks 2.1 goals per match.
Spennymoor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Merthyr has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Spennymoor is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Merthyr is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Spennymoor. In practical terms, Spennymoor would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Spennymoor holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Spennymoor
Merthyr
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Spennymoor
4W 2D 4L · 12 goals scored · 11 conceded
Merthyr
2W 2D 6L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded
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