Charleroi vs Genk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.4 vs 47.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Charleroi averaging 1.4 and Genk averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Defensively, Charleroi and Genk are evenly matched, allowing 0.9 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Charleroi has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Genk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.3 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Charleroi has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Charleroi. In practical terms, Charleroi would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Charleroi, with a 10.6-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-05-02), Charleroi prevailed 2-0 against Genk. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Charleroi secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Genk will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Charleroi will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Belgian First Division A (2026-04-21). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.