Charleroi vs OHL Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.4 vs 47.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

OHL holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Charleroi's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Charleroi holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to OHL's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.

Charleroi has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

OHL has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Charleroi has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: OHL is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Charleroi is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while OHL shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Charleroi. In practical terms, Charleroi would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Charleroi has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Belgian First Division A (2026-05-19). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-25), Charleroi prevailed 0-2 against OHL. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Charleroi achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against OHL shows genuine quality and mental strength. OHL will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Charleroi will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.