St Joseph's vs Bohemians Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Context matters here: St Joseph's's schedule strength (SoS: 67.5) has been notably more demanding than Bohemians's (SoS: 52.0), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Few sides can match Bohemians in front of goal. Their 1.7 average per fixture tells the story, with R. Tierney driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Defensively, St Joseph's holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Bohemians's 1.6.

St Joseph's has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bohemians has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.2 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: St Joseph's is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 2 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bohemians is on the rise with 3W in last 10, while St Joseph's shows signs of decline with 0W in last 2.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bohemians faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If St Joseph's can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Bohemians. In practical terms, Bohemians would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Bohemians, with a 12.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the UEFA Conference League (2026-07-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-09), Bohemians came out on top with a 2-0 victory over St Joseph's. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Bohemians secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. St Joseph's will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bohemians will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.