St. Kitts vs Grenada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: St. Kitts's schedule strength (SoS: 74.5) has been notably more demanding than Grenada's (SoS: 49.3), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

St. Kitts (2.0 goals per match) and Grenada (2.1 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Grenada — 1.7 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of St. Kitts, who give up 3.3 goals per match at the other end.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while St. Kitts shows signs of decline with 3W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If St. Kitts can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Grenada, with a 8.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-10): Grenada defeated St. Kitts 2-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Grenada's ability to perform on the biggest stage against St. Kitts. Notably, Grenada achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against St. Kitts shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St. Kitts will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Grenada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.